If I were a gambling man (oh wait, I am), I’d wager on Obama winning the presidency in November. Right now Vegas has Obama at -194 or a little less than a 2 to 1 favorite. I can’t see how it will be close in the end. This election is shaping up to be similar to Clinton/Dole ‘96. One guy is young, energetic, smart, and full of vision. The other guy is old and crotchety. That’s a tough dynamic, irrespective of your political leanings or worldview. On top of that the Republicans have NO MOJO (negative mojo if thats possible) after 8 years of everything that could go wrong did go wrong. George Will on Charlie Rose last night thought that McCain’s only chance is if Obama fails to make the case that he had the gravitas to be president. After 5 months of speeches like this, I can’t imagine the electorate saying “No thanks, I’d like an old guy who’s just like Bush”.

Obama Victory Speech 6/3/08 in St. Paul Minnesota